Green Plains Valuation

G3V Stock  EUR 10.58  0.05  0.47%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Green Plains retains a regular Real Value of €9.95 per share. The prevalent price of the firm is €10.58. Our model calculates the value of Green Plains from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as Return On Asset of -0.0313, current valuation of 963.8 M, and Return On Equity of -0.15 as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Price Book
1.1353
Enterprise Value
963.8 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
40.037
Price Sales
0.3532
Forward PE
62.5
Overvalued
Today
10.58
Please note that Green Plains' price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Green Plains is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Green Plains' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Green stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Green Plains. Since Green Plains is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Green Stock. However, Green Plains' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  10.58 Real  9.95 Hype  10.58 Naive  10.28
The real value of Green Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Green Plains Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Green Plains' financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Green Plains' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
9.95
Real Value
13.09
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Green Plains helps investors to forecast how Green stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Green Plains more accurately as focusing exclusively on Green Plains' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.43-0.180.09
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.4410.5813.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.1410.2813.42
Details

Green Plains Cash

255 Million

Green Plains Total Value Analysis

Green Plains is currently estimated to have takeover price of 963.8 M with market capitalization of 738.85 M, debt of 142.95 M, and cash on hands of 214.07 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Green Plains fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
963.8 M
738.85 M
142.95 M
214.07 M

Green Plains Investor Information

About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.14. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Green Plains recorded a loss per share of 1.53. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2019. Based on the key indicators related to Green Plains' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Green Plains is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.

Green Plains Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Green Plains has an asset utilization ratio of 137.97 percent. This implies that the Company is making €1.38 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Green Plains is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Green Plains Profitability Analysis

Based on Green Plains' profitability indicators, Green Plains may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Green Plains' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2016-12-31
Previous Quarter
-72.2 M
Current Value
11.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
37.7 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The Green Plains' current Gross Profit is estimated to increase to about 161.9 M
For Green Plains profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Green Plains to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Green Plains utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Green Plains's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Green Plains over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Green Plains Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Green Plains' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Green Plains' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Green Plains is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Green Plains is projected to generate -0.18 in earnings per share on the 30th of September 2021. Green Plains earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Green Plains EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Green Plains' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Green Plains, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Green Plains Ownership Allocation

Green Plains has a total of 69.84 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Green Plains outstanding shares are owned by outside corporations. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to purchase positions in Green Plains to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, third-party entities are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Green Plains. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Green Plains as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company holds, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Green Plains Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 2.46 B. Net Loss for the year was (82.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 136.93 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Green Plains' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Green Plains and how it compares across the competition.

About Green Plains Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Green Plains' current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Green Plains. We calculate exposure to Green Plains's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Green Plains's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit117.4 M161.9 M

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When running Green Plains' price analysis, check to measure Green Plains' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Green Plains is operating at the current time. Most of Green Plains' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Green Plains' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Green Plains' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Green Plains to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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